Alright, so $250,000 Bitcoin — sounds wild, right?
But that’s the number some hardcore bulls are throwing around, and they’ve got the charts to back it up. Here’s why this isn’t just a moonboy fantasy.
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Let’s start with the big one — global M2. It’s pumping, and it’s not stopping anytime soon. According to the guys at Real Vision, we’re looking at a major wave of global liquidity running well into 2026. This means the four-year cycle? Yeah, might be broken. Forget that predictable October top this year. If the cash keeps sloshing around, we could be looking at $250K BTC by next spring.
Tom Lee, one of the loudest Bitcoin bulls, points out that the high-yield bond market — the canary in the coal mine for financial crises — is not panicking. Government bonds have been looking shaky, sure, but high-yield bonds are chill. That’s not what happens before a crash. If the junk bond guys aren’t sweating, neither should you.
Here’s a fun one — 17 of the last 18 major declines since 1950 have been followed by sharp, V-shaped recoveries. That’s a 94% hit rate. You’re betting against history if you think we’re heading straight for the dumpster.
Markets top when the business cycle tops, not when it’s scraping the bottom. Right now, we’re still in the “nasty, scary” part of the cycle. That’s actually a good thing for bulls. When this thing flips, it’s game on.
Alright, the nerdy stuff — a few of the big technical models are screaming higher:
- Power Law Chart: Baseline of $150K by the end of 2025 and $250K by 2028.
- Pi Cycle Top: Currently around $160K, but with enough grind, it can hit $250K this cycle.
- Golden Ratio Multiplier: Says $160K is the conservative peak, but stretch it a bit and you hit $250K.
- Fibonacci Extension: If history rhymes, we’re looking at $215K to $250K.
And don’t forget the whales. Institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy are still stacking sats. Even the U.S. government is rumored to be eyeing BTC for strategic reserves. You don’t want to be the last one buying when this train leaves the station.
Yeah, there’ll be “big nasty fat gross corrections” along the way. You’re going to have those moments where it feels like it’s all over — right before it rips higher. The road to $250K will be littered with liquidated noobs. Don’t be one of them.
Bottom line? Ignore the noise. Screw the bears. Stay focused. If you’re playing the long game, $250K BTC isn’t just possible — it’s on the table.